Marcus Aurelio (16-5, 2-1 UFC) vs. Tyson Griffin (11-1, 4-1 UFC)

Vegas has this fight fairly one sided with Tyson Griffin at -350 vs. Marcus Aurelio at +250. This fight should go to Griffin but I don't see it quite so lopsided. Both fighters share the common opponent of Clay Guida. Those fights came out as split decisions, Aurelio lost Griffin won. However they were extremely close and could have gone either way in both cases.

Aurelio is a Pride vet with a victory over highly touted lightweight Takanori Gomi granted he followed that victory with three straight losses including the rematch as well as the aforementioned Guida fight. Since then he has torn threw sub-par talent.

Tyson Griffin's skill set matches perfectly against Aurelio with superior wrestling, conditioning and strength. Fight goes to Griffin but not quite the walk threw the odds say.