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THQ needs a big hit

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Here at WKR we have been following THQ's financial trouble for some time.

THQ is currently responsible for making the first UFC game for the next-gen consoles. While UFC Undisputed 2009 will come out later this May it doesn't mean that the company producing it will survive.

"THQ needs a hit title to break back into profitability," said Colin Sebastian, a San Francisco-based analyst with Lazard Capital Markets LLC, who has a "hold" rating on the stock and doesn't own it. The UFC game is "definitely being looked at by investors as an important milestone."    

Things look hopeful for the publisher when you consider that UFC Undisputed 2009 is marketed towards a core demographic of gamers. Combine that with the strong niche following that the UFC holds, as well as the cross platform launch (both Xbox360 and PS3) and it appears that THQ could sell 2 million copies easily. 

But that doesn't change the fact that THQ is in some serious trouble. The company's stock has plummeted from a high of $20 a share to $3 a share today. THQ is simply hemorrhagin money. The publisher began selling off developer studios not long ago. 

As of our last report THQ had already lost $334 million. Recent earning posted include another $36.4 million lost not including the $44.7 million the studio spent in restructuring (they also laid off 600 employees). Basically THQ needs capital and quickly and they are betting on their UFC IP to generate it. 

According to the Bloomberg report THQ has already spent $20 million on designing the game and plans on matching that amount with marketing dollars. Even if the company hits the 2 million mark of units sold a full third of revenue would be eaten up just in development cost. That doesn't include the money THQ would owe to Zuffa. 

Ultimately the videogame industry is facing an upheaval. The current business model, which is molded after Hollywood, is too large an expensive in order to generate stable revenue's. Van Zelfden of Slate has an excellent piece detailing the issues facing the industry and what is needed to revitalize a unhealthy industry.

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The game will do well

I cannot wait for this game. I have already planned out my first three fighters (career mode) and the first 5 fights i will play with real fighters (exhibition mode). Not that this is relevant to the game doing well. However, the game is one of the top downloads right now. I also think it will do well because it comes before fight night. I have two friends who do not watch or follow MMA and they both are going to buy the game because of the demo. While this is anecdotal, I think it will be similar for many people. The high amount of downloads and the quality of the demo will help a lot. Unfortunately this might not help THQ.

http://judothrow.blogspot.com (sorry about being that guy)

by Zach Krantz on May 7, 2009 11:30 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

i love THQ bc of Relic and their games (tho they are shit at balancing and support)

But I think THQ may be the Bear Stearnes of the videogame industry

Regardless the UFC game will live on partly bc the production costs are going to drop with each iteration

watchkalibrun.com

by Zak Woods on May 7, 2009 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

agreed. All that money went into creating a template for the game. They had nothing to work off of and development cost will drop each year for sure. From what i have read of previews, hopefully future development costs will go into career mode.

http://judothrow.blogspot.com (sorry about being that guy)

by Zach Krantz on May 7, 2009 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

True

at the same time we are at, if not past, the midway point of this generations console development cycle.

Now with the economy and current business model being poor or flawed, this cycle could last longer.

It would be interesting to see what they will have to do with the next cycle of consoles.

watchkalibrun.com

by Zak Woods on May 7, 2009 1:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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