WKR Gambling Advice UFC 103

 The following gambling advice column uses $100 as a starting point.  This is how I would place my bets if I only had a $100.  The purpose is not offer people an option who do not gamble with a lot of money, but a way to track profit/loss.  If I were to take three major underdogs and hit one I could potentially win big money, but my record would show as 1-2.  On the other hand I could place 3 bets and put lots of money on one fight and place only a small bet on the other two.  If I win my two small bets and lose my big bet I would be down a lot of loot (yes I called it loot), but my record would show 2-1.  Betting money lines is different than betting with spreads therefore I believe this is a better way to track if I am Raymond Babbitt or Brandon Lang.

At UFC 102 I made a profit of 43%.  Using the $100 allotment for the gambling segment I would have walked with $143.

Let me also state that UFC 103 odds suck.  Not one line jumps off the page as that would be akward as things like that have happened since college.  I am not happy I have to bet $100 on these fights and it is fake money.  Either way, here we go with my advice (cough, cough) for UFC 103.

Brian Foster -105 ($30): I am surprised by these odds.  I thought for sure Foster would have better odds than this.  Story has fought in the promotion before and Foster is a relatively unknown.  However, if you read my picks you will know I am a big Brian Foster fan.  This is a risky pick at -105, but I like him and I am hopeful.

Elliot Marshall -115 ($30): If the odds were better I would put even more on this fight.  I am very confident Marshall will win this fight.  The odds are not bad as this is mostly just the juice for the sports book.  Probably the best odds for the night.

Tyson Griffin -260 ($20): I am confident Griffin is going to pull this fight off.  He has faced stronger submission fighters than Franca and survived.  He is a better wrestler and a better striker.  I do not like the odds as I am not -260 confident, but it is probably safe enough.

Cole Miller +140 ($15): Efrain will most likely win and I would not want to put 15% of money on this upset, but he Miller is the strongest underdog.  I actually think he will win and the fact that he is an underdog is a bonus.  Unfortunately he had a notable submission win over Browning which has provided him with more recognition, which in turn hurts his odds.  Not where I would want the odds, but good enough.

Jim Miller -600 ($5): Horrible odds and no real point in taking a bet with these odds.  In case I lose the other three bets I at least know I will not get shut out.  If you are actually betting and not saving face then do not take this bet.  These odds are horrible in MMA and there is no way for -600 to be worthwhile.  Just ask Brock Larson fans

Zach Krantz went 4-1 at UFC 102.